Greg Cote's Thursday night NFL pick

Greg Cote, Miami Herald on Sep 10, 2025

Published in Football

By clicking submit, I authorize Arcamax and its affiliates to: (1) use, sell, and share my information for marketing purposes, including cross-context behavioral advertising, as described in our Privacy Policy , (2) add to information that I provide with other information like interests inferred from web page views, or data lawfully obtained from data brokers, such as past purchase or location data, or publicly available data, (3) contact me or enable others to contact me by email or other means with offers for different types of goods and services, and (4) retain my information while I am engaging with marketing messages that I receive and for a reasonable amount of time thereafter. I understand I can opt out at any time through an email that I receive, or by clicking here

COMMANDERS (1-0) at PACKERS (1-0)

Line: GB by 3 1/2.

Cote’s pick: GB, 30-17.

TV: 8:15 p.m. Thursday, Prime Video.

If the NFL’s biggest Week 1 takeaway was that the Dolphins had the worst opening since Moose Murders on Broadway, second place may have been, “Wait a second. Are the Packers the new favorite in the NFC!?” If not, they’re suddenly on the heel of reigning champ Philly and poised in the passing lane. Green Bay’s 27-13 dispatch of Detroit -- and the instant impact of new defensive star Micah Parsons -- was convincing. Less so: Washington beating the lowly Giants, 21-6, although new Comms receiver Deebo Samuel paid fast dividends, too. This is one of only four 1-0 vs. 1-0 matchups to kick-off Week 2, and the big question in it is if the Pack is back ... as in, a Super Bowl contender? We need more proof, but think we’ll get some here. The Gee Bees’ defense is contender quality, and only enhanced by adding Parsons. Washington’s D is not contender quality. Russell Wilson couldn’t solve it last week, but Jordan Love, Josh Jacobs and company will. Also especially like Parsons vs. a retooled Comms o-line, with Lambeau Field in prime time only magnifying the home-field edge here. Packers are on a 23-9 tear against the spread in prime time, and 16-3 ATS (8-0 at home) the first three games of a season under coach Matt Lafleur. Oh, and Washington has lost straight-up its last six trips to Lambeau.

(Note: Betting line courtesy ESPNBet as of Wednesday mid-afternoon.)

____