Greg Cote's Thursday night NFL pick

Greg Cote, Miami Herald on Oct 8, 2025

Published in Football

By clicking submit, I authorize Arcamax and its affiliates to: (1) use, sell, and share my information for marketing purposes, including cross-context behavioral advertising, as described in our Privacy Policy , (2) add to information that I provide with other information like interests inferred from web page views, or data lawfully obtained from data brokers, such as past purchase or location data, or publicly available data, (3) contact me or enable others to contact me by email or other means with offers for different types of goods and services, and (4) retain my information while I am engaging with marketing messages that I receive and for a reasonable amount of time thereafter. I understand I can opt out at any time through an email that I receive, or by clicking here

EAGLES (4-1) at GIANTS (1-4)

Line: PHI by 7 1/2.

Cote’s pick: PHI, 30-10.

TV: 8:15 p.m. Thursday, Prime Video.

NFC East duel (albeit a lopsided one) kicks off NFL Week 6, and I’m going a bit against form on this pick. Standard thinking is that 7 1/2 points is a lot to gift a home ‘dog in a rivalry — especially in what hints at a low-scoring prime-time game. But I like Philly in something of a breakout game offensively. Top teams tend to bounce back from losses, so last week’s to Denver will amp up the Eagles, who are perceived as not as strong as last year’s champions but should look closer to that level here. Saquon Barkley, underwhelming thus far, should cash his first 100-yard ground game against an NYG run D being gashed for 140 yards per game. Barkley ran for 176 last year in his first game versus his longtime former team and he’ll be thusly motivated again. (Saquon is on injury list as questionable [knee] but there’s next-to-zero doubt he’ll play.) And that ground game in turn will help Jalen Hurts bust out the outside deep game with A.J. Brown and Devonta Smith against a vulnerable Biggies’ secondary. Phils are on a 6-1 run in this series, and G-Men rookie QB Jaxson Dart is coming off a three-turnover game. All that makes me lean rout over a tight one.

(Note: Betting line courtesy ESPNBet as of midday Wednesday.)