U.S. stocks jumped, wiping out Monday’s plunge, as traders unleashed risky bets that the White House will clinch crucial trade deals with top economic partners. The dollar recovered slightly from Monday’s lows while short-term Treasury yields climbed.

The S&P 500 rose 2.5% — notching its best day since April 9 — after a series of reports nurtured Wall Street expectations that tariff-related hostilities are easing as the U.S. makes progress in fleshing out agreements.

Traders are now turning to Tesla Inc.’s earnings. The stock rose 4.6% on Tuesday but remains 41% lower this year as controversy over CEO Elon Musk’s role in the federal government has contributed to a global sales slump.

After markets closed, Tesla reported adjusted earnings that missed analyst estimates. The company said President Donald Trump’s trade war has adverse impacts on its global supply chain and could have a “meaningful impact on demand” in the near-term. Shares were little changed in extended trading in New York as of 4:10 p.m.

‘Period of extreme uncertainty’

A volley of tariff-related headlines during Tuesday’s session continued to fuel market moves as fast-twitch investors pour over news reports for clues on how to trade the crisis. White House Press Secretary Karoline Leavitt, in a news briefing, said that progress is being made on trade deals and that the “ball is moving in the right direction with China.” It follows a Politico report that the White House is nearing general agreements with Japan and India on trade.

Earlier, stocks had pushed even higher following Bloomberg News’ report of closed-door comments by Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent saying the tariff standoff with China is unsustainable and that he expects the situation to de-escalate.

Bessent’s comments came against the backdrop of the International Monetary Fund sharply lowering its forecasts for world growth this year and next, along with warning that the outlook could worsen because of the trade war.

Treasuries and the dollar still posted smaller moves on Tuesday, showing greater stability after Monday, when investors were worried about the implications of any effort to replace the Federal Reserve Chair by Trump, who has berated Jerome Powell for being slow to cut interest rates. While the 10-year Treasury yield barely budged on Tuesday, two-year yields rose to 3.82% after lackluster demand for an auction.

Similar to yesterday, Tuesday’s big moves in stocks came amid lighter-than-usual trading, a backdrop that sometimes exacerbates swings.

“We are in a period of extreme uncertainty, where one should not react too much to daily moves,” Anwiti Bahuguna, Northern Trust Asset Management’s CIO of global asset allocation, said on Bloomberg Television on Tuesday.

Near term, Jeff Schulze of ClearBridge Investments expects the S&P 500 to move between lows seen a couple of weeks ago to around the 5,400 level.

“I think the biggest driver of being outside of that range is whether or not the U.S. does indeed have a recession,” Schulze said at an event on Tuesday. “However, longer term, I think this is a great opportunity to be dollar-cost-averaging into the weakness that we’ve seen. A lot of negativity has been priced in a short period of time for U.S. equities.”

Gold declined after rising to a record high past $3,500. Bitcoin advanced more than 4%.

Among individual stock movers on Tuesday:

—All members of the Bloomberg Magnificent Seven Index are trading higher on Tuesday

—3M Co. rose 8.1% after it stood by its full-year financial guidance while acknowledging new risks from the trade war

—Northrop Grumman Corp. reported first-quarter profit that missed analysts’ expectations and cut its earnings forecast for the year — shares are down 13%

—Shares of RTX Corp., an aerospace and defence giant, fell 9.8% after the company said tariffs pose a significant risk to operating profit

—Verizon Communications Inc. reported a larger-than-expected decline in mobile-phone subscribers in the first quarter. Shares still closed the session 0.6% higher.

Central-bank speakers

Traders also heard from several central-bank speakers on Tuesday. European Central Bank’s President Christine Lagarde told CNBC that the bank has almost achieved its goal of returning inflation to 2% but must be flexible as the economic backdrop becomes more volatile.

Earlier, Fed vice chair Philip Jefferson said the central bank’s goals of stable prices and maximum employment can help foster economic mobility. Philadelphia Fed President Patrick Harker wrote in an essay released Tuesday that measuring economic stability with the federal poverty line can fail to provide an accurate picture of the struggles among lower-income households.

Meanwhile, Fed Bank of Minneapolis President Neel Kashkari said it’s the central bank’s job to make sure tariffs don’t spur an ongoing inflation problem, echoing recent comments by Powell.

Trade war

Even though stocks seem to be bouncing back on Tuesday, concerns that Trump may be preparing to fire Powell have added to unease for traders already grappling with the turmoil unleashed by the president’s tariff onslaught.

Trump’s policies and his broadsides against the Fed have forced a reappraisal of the dollar and Treasuries as havens in times of stress. The IMF said the latest escalation in the trade war risks saddling China and the U.S. with losses — and that it could only get worse after this year. Yet, some traders are waiting to see how negotiations play out with allies.

“We are looking at more successful trade negotiations with key trading allies. I put Europe, India, Japan, South Korea, Australia in that category,” Stuart Kaiser, head of equity trading strategy at Citigroup Inc., said on Bloomberg Television on Tuesday. “I think we will see good progress there and that is good for markets.”

The U.S. said it’s made “significant progress” toward a bilateral trade deal following talks between Vice President JD Vance and Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi. Vance on Tuesday called on India to buy more American goods, particularly energy and military equipment. Trump has repeatedly criticized the country for high tariffs.

Some of the main moves in markets:

Stocks

—The S&P 500 rose 2.5% as of 4 p.m. New York time

—The Nasdaq 100 rose 2.6%

—The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 2.7%

—The MSCI World Index rose 1.7%

Currencies

—The Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index rose 0.5%

—The euro fell 0.8% to $1.1421

—The British pound fell 0.4% to $1.3332

—The Japanese yen fell 0.5% to 141.63 per dollar

Cryptocurrencies

—Bitcoin rose 4.8% to $91,530.35

—Ether rose 7.8% to $1,700.97

Bonds

—The yield on 10-year Treasuries declined two basis points to 4.39%

—Germany’s 10-year yield declined three basis points to 2.44%

—Britain’s 10-year yield declined two basis points to 4.54%

Commodities

—West Texas Intermediate crude rose 1.9% to $64.31 a barrel

—Spot gold fell 1.4% to $3,375.54 an ounce

(With assistance from Lynn Thomasson, John Viljoen, Julien Ponthus, Vildana Hajric and Isabelle Lee.(

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