Tropical Storm Jerry douses Caribbean as NHC names new storm Karen

Richard Tribou, Orlando Sentinel on Oct 10, 2025

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ORLANDO, Fla. — The National Hurricane Center on Friday said Tropical Storm Jerry was dropping torrents of rain on the Caribbean’s northern Leeward Islands while the season’s 11th named storm came in the form of Subtropical Storm Karen.

As of the NHC’s 8 a.m. advisory, Jerry had maximum sustained winds of 50 mph and was located about 110 miles north of the Leewards moving northwest at 17 mph.

A tropical storm warning remained place for St. Barthelemy, St. Martin and Sint Maarten.

The system is forecast to shift more to the north on Friday and Saturday and move into the open Atlantic.

“On the forecast track, the center of Jerry will continue passing to the north of the Leeward Islands this morning, then move away from the islands later today,” forecasters said. “Little change in strength is expected today, but slow strengthening is possible over the weekend.”

Tropical-storm-force winds extend out up to 185 miles from its center.

The storm is forecast to bring 4-6 inches of rain on Barbuda and 2-4 inches across other Leeward Islands as well as the Virgin Islands. Parts of Puerto Rico could also see 2-4 inches with some areas getting as much as 6 inches that could bring the risk of flash flooding.

Swells from Jerry will bring heavy surf and rip current conditions across the Leeward, Windward and Virgin Islands as well as Puerto Rico on Friday spreading farther west to the Greater Antilles.

Also late Thursday, the NHC began advisories on the season’s 11th named storm, Subtropical Storm Karen.

As of 5 a.m. Friday, Karen had maximum sustained winds of 45 mph located about 570 miles north-northwest of the Azores headed northeast at 9 mph. Winds of 40 mph extend out up to 60 miles, but it’s no threat to land.

“Little change in strength is forecast today, and the system should degenerate to a post-tropical low on Saturday and open into a trough soon thereafter,” forecasters said.

Of the 11 named storms so far, four have grown into hurricanes, with three of those reaching major hurricane status. Only Tropical Storm Chantal made a U.S. landfall so far this year.

Hurricane season runs from June 1 to Nov. 30.

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